The Wizards of Armageddon
Peter Schultz
From
the book The Wizards of Armageddon by Fred Kaplan, being an account of
the alleged wisemen and women who “for thirty years [were] a small group inside
the U.S. strategic community [who] devised the plans and shaped the policies on
how to use the bomb.” The book bills itself as “their untold story.”
Kaplan’s
summation of the work of the likes of Albert Wohlstetter, et. al.: “These sorts
of studies were scientific, so it was thought; there were numbers,
calculations, rigorously checked, sometimes figured on a computer. Maybe the
numbers were questionable, but they were tangible, unlike the theorizing, the
Kremlinology, the academic historical research and interpretation produced by
social science. Wohlstetter snootily denigrated all such works as being in ‘the
essay tradition.’” [p. 121]
And
so, allegedly, Wohlstetter et. al. did science; they were scientific realists
and were, in their own minds, superior to those who worked in the essay
tradition, political theorists, Kremlinologists, historians, and social
scientists. And yet the “strategic community … formed at RAND … had reached … a
… consensus … which was the not unlikely prospect of a Soviet surprise attack
against the increasingly vulnerable Strategic Air Command. To many, it appeared
that the Russians might indeed attack sometime in the near future.” [pp.
123-24]
Note
well: These allegedly hard-headed scientists viewed the political at the time as
a morality tale, with “good guys” and “bad guys” engaged apocalyptic battles.
And, of course, the RANDites like Albert Wohlstetter would be the heroes of
this morality tale, and so, unsurprisingly, Wohlstetter was described by one
colleague as if he sounded like “he was reciting the Sermon on the Mount.”
[123] Wohlstetter, et. al., saw themselves as standing at Armageddon and battling
for the Lord, armed with their science and their rationality. Nuclear weapons
were, apparently, divinely sanctioned. Indeed, so too was nuclear war.
And
so, these scientists, these alleged realists, affirmed the political, while
being blind to their affirmation, its consequences, and its controversies.
Apocalyptic battles are especially appealing to the self-righteous, but they
are universally destructive especially in a nuclear age. It is questionable
whether they should be embraced as divinely or scientifically sanctioned.
So,
while science “added … legitimacy to the general feeling among many in
government that the arms race must be continued and accelerated at all costs,”
[131] the realists’ affirmation of the political as a morality tale fed their
aggressiveness vis-à-vis the Soviet Union. It was their politics, not their
science, that explained their understanding of and opposition to the Soviet
Union. So, while “Wohlstetter snootily denigrated” social science and social
scientists, his own politics were easily denigrated as blind to the “real Soviet
Union.” Had he not viewed politics as a morality tale, Wohlstetter might have
been able to achieve a more nuanced view of the Soviet Union than as an “evil
empire” ready to strike the U.S. at its earliest opportunity in order to
achieve its ultimate goal of world domination. Such a view would have helped
moderate the arms race that these scientists thought must be continued and
accelerated at all costs, including of course the embrace of thermonuclear
weapons capable of destroying the world and humanity. These scientists had
become capable of, as Robert Oppenheimer knew, destroying worlds.